How much revenue did FolkOrigin make?

$2k–$6k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FolkOrigin sell?

Q: How many copies did FolkOrigin sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 43 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut; from 43 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FolkOrigin and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FolkOrigin's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.4M–20.2M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like FolkOrigin

A typical game among these

≈ 7.4M–20.2M copies

≈ $96.7M–$191.3M after Steam's cut

from ~280k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 184k reviews in their first month; the range was 35k to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.8M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	544k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Satisfactory 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.3M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingAutomation
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
The Long Dark 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–6.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$97.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	124k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Stranded Deep 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.6M after Steam's cut $11.9M–$27.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	48k reviews Mostly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building