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How many copies did Hard Truck Apocalypse: Arcade / Ex Machina: Arcade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–24k
$20k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$84k before Steam's cut
from 265 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hard Truck Apocalypse: Arcade / Ex Machina: Arcade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hard Truck Apocalypse: Arcade / Ex Machina: Arcade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–10.6M
best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)
Games like Hard Truck Apocalypse: Arcade / Ex Machina: Arcade

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–10.6M copies

≈ $32.9M–$72.7M after Steam's cut

from ~137k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 17k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim
ZombieVan Drive
2021
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $74–$168 before Steam's cut
$0.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
RacingCasual
Hard Truck Apocalypse: Rise Of Clans / Ex Machina: Meridian 113
2014
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$77k–$206k after Steam's cut $139k–$317k before Steam's cut
$5.99
831 reviews
Mostly Positive
Automobile SimAction
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
The Crew™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.2M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
100k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
Hard Truck Apocalypse / Ex Machina
2014
Est. copies
≈ 154k–251k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticAutomobile Sim
Drift Cars Zombie Crusher
2023
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut
$0.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
ActionSimulation

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