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How many copies did Genome Guardian sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–32k
$64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before Steam's cut
from 785 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Genome Guardian and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Genome Guardian's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 592k–931k
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Genome Guardian

A typical game among these

≈ 592k–931k copies

≈ $3.5M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (8 of 8) and Action Roguelike (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Rogue-lite, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Looter Shooter + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Streets of Rogue
2019
Est. copies
≈ 665k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Nova Drift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 364k–592k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising
2018
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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