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How many copies did Esau's World sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$206–$553 after Steam's cut $375–$850 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Esau's World and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Esau's World's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17k–49k
best case 693k (Murders on the Yangtze River)
Games like Esau's World

A typical game among these

≈ 17k–49k copies

≈ $90k–$194k after Steam's cut

from ~686 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Murders on the Yangtze River at ≈ 528k–858k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 184 reviews in their first month; the range was 125 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Puzzle + Philosophical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 333k–541k
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
HUMANITY
2023
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$435k before Steam's cut
$29.99
514 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
31x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Evan's Remains
2020
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$102k–$274k after Steam's cut $185k–$421k before Steam's cut
$6.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle-Platformer
Time Loader
2021
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$7.99
578 reviews
Very Positive
LogicStory Rich
Hello Neighbor: Hide and Seek
2019
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$360k–$968k after Steam's cut $655k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureHorror
One Dreamer: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
794 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayProgramming
One Dreamer
2022
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$49k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut
$15.99
445 reviews
Very Positive
LogicStory Rich

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