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How many copies did The Game of Sisyphus sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–35k
$41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$171k before Steam's cut
from 866 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Game of Sisyphus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Game of Sisyphus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 103k–1.1M
best case 4.9M (Crab Game)
Games like The Game of Sisyphus

A typical game among these

≈ 103k–1.1M copies

≈ $187k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 3D Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Crab Game at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 75 to 77k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (4 of 8) and Parkour (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Battle Royale.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crab Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
151k reviews
Very Positive
Psychological HorrorMultiplayer
Snake Pass
2017
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$632k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerIndie
Hans
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut
$4.99
794 reviews
Very Positive
Gorilla Tag
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
not available
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Parkour3D Platformer
ALTF4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 268k–435k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$220k–$592k after Steam's cut $400k–$911k before Steam's cut
$2.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
RunnerPhysics
BETON BRUTAL
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$256k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerPrecision Platformer
Peaks of Yore
2023
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$492k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $895k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$18.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultPhysics

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