How much revenue did Carpe Dino: Seize the Date make?

$476–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Carpe Dino: Seize the Date sell?

Q: How many copies did Carpe Dino: Seize the Date sell?

347 to 564 copies, based on its 14 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 347–564; $476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut; from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Carpe Dino: Seize the Date and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Carpe Dino: Seize the Date's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–9k

best case 15k (My Cute Commissar)

Games like Carpe Dino: Seize the Date

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–9k copies

≈ $6k–$39k after Steam's cut

from ~162 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: My Cute Commissar at ≈ 11k–18k copies, ≈ $6k–$17k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 94.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Dating Sim (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Match 3 + Puzzle, priced around $2.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Pair-a-Site 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	69 reviews Very Positive	2D PlatformerBullet Hell
Mission: It's Complicated 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	242 reviews Very Positive	CasualVisual Novel
Nirvana Pilot Yume 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut	$3.99	131 reviews Mostly Positive	SpaceVisual Novel
xdding 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $567–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$0.99	84 reviews Very Positive	CasualArcade
Creepy Creepy Love 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$4.99	77 reviews Very Positive	AnimeBeat 'em up
Gal*Gun Returns 2021	Est. copies ≈ 9k–15k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $124k–$333k after Steam's cut $225k–$512k before Steam's cut	$49.99	363 reviews Very Positive	ShooterOn-Rails Shooter
My Cute Commissar 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11k–18k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut	$1.99	459 reviews Very Positive	Match 3Puzzle
Arcade Spirits: The New Challengers 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $26k–$70k after Steam's cut $48k–$108k before Steam's cut	$19.99	192 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelLGBTQ+