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How many copies did Recycling Center Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74k–120k
$405k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $737k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Recycling Center Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Recycling Center Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–3.1M
best case 10.4M (Schedule I)
Games like Recycling Center Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–3.1M copies

≈ $16.5M–$21.2M after Steam's cut

from ~72k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Schedule I at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies, ≈ $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 60k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 153k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Management (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Co-op, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Crime + Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PC Building Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEducation
Farming Simulator 19
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
TCG Card Shop Simulator
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
51k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Supermarket Simulator
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
84k reviews
Very Positive
Planet Coaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.2M–$100.0M after Steam's cut $67.6M–$153.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
72k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Supermarket Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
100k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationOnline Co-Op
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.