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How many copies did Dark Scavenger sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–22k
$19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before Steam's cut
from 243 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Scavenger and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Scavenger's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 207k–556k
best case 6.5M (FTL: Faster Than Light)
Games like Dark Scavenger

A typical game among these

≈ 207k–556k copies

≈ $1.7M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: FTL: Faster Than Light at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 509 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Space, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Rogue-like + Strategy + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sable
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Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericExploration
FTL: Faster Than Light
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
79k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSpace
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 159k–259k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$876k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CinematicAtmospheric
Tales from the Borderlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 486k–790k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyAdventure
Dreamfall Chapters
2017
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
Star Conflict
2013
Est. copies
≈ 963k–1.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
I Was a Teenage Exocolonist
2022
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$827k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterLife Sim
Avorion
2020
Est. copies
≈ 362k–588k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationSandbox

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