How many copies did Guards II: Prologue sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 159 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Guards II: Prologue make?

Guards II: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Guards II: Prologue?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 4k–6k; from 159 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Guards II: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Guards II: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 36k–53k

best case 342k (Card Hunter)

Games like Guards II: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 36k–53k copies

≈ $297k–$360k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Card Hunter at ≈ 260k–423k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 487 reviews in their first month; the range was 285 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based (5 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dungeons & Dragons + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Low Magic Age 2017	Est. copies ≈ 121k–197k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $500k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $910k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessDungeons & Dragons
Forge of Gods (RPG) 2016	Est. copies ≈ 110k–178k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Our Adventurer Guild 2024	Est. copies ≈ 89k–145k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $368k–$990k after Steam's cut $670k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Turn-Based Tactics Management
Dungeon Rushers 2016	Est. copies ≈ 51k–83k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $212k–$569k after Steam's cut $385k–$876k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Mixed	Dungeon Crawler Rogue-lite
Card Hunter 2015	Est. copies ≈ 260k–423k 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCard Game
ARIA CHRONICLE 2020	Est. copies ≈ 29k–47k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $143k–$384k after Steam's cut $260k–$591k before Steam's cut	$17.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	JRPG Turn-Based Tactics
Popup Dungeon 2020	Est. copies ≈ 26k–42k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $179k–$481k after Steam's cut $325k–$740k before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGStrategy
Trials of Fire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 81k–131k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics