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How many copies did The Memory Thieves sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Memory Thieves and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Memory Thieves's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10k–62k
best case 595k (Wildermyth)
Games like The Memory Thieves

A typical game among these

≈ 10k–62k copies

≈ $22k–$728k after Steam's cut

from ~474 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Wildermyth at ≈ 454k–737k copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 107 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Procedural Generation (8 of 8) and Fantasy (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party-Based RPG + Choices Matter, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Billiards Dungeon
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Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$340–$915 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
10 reviews
Positive
PoolRogue-lite
Siralim
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Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $65k–$149k before Steam's cut
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268 reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorCollectathon
Panther VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
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124 reviews
Mixed
VRStealth
Siralim 3
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$124k–$333k after Steam's cut $225k–$512k before Steam's cut
$14.99
988 reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorCollectathon
Mimic Logic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$64k before Steam's cut
$3.99
567 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleProcedural Generation
Zorbus
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$53k before Steam's cut
$4.99
380 reviews
Very Positive
Traditional RoguelikeRogue-like
Wildermyth
2021
Est. copies
≈ 454k–737k
39x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Party-Based RPGChoices Matter
Dungeon Alchemist
2022
Est. copies
≈ 98k–159k
8.3x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$44.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
SoftwareLevel Editor

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