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How many copies did 火鸦 blazing crow sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 818–1k
$673–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 33 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 火鸦 blazing crow and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 火鸦 blazing crow's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 42k–250k
best case 965k (Dorfromantik)
Games like 火鸦 blazing crow

A typical game among these

≈ 42k–250k copies

≈ $183k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Dorfromantik at ≈ 735k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 653 reviews in their first month; the range was 130 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + City Builder, priced around $14.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Board GameStrategy
Just Go
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CasualSimulation
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≈ 22k–36k
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903 reviews
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Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
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2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
9k reviews
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ChessTime Travel
Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
9.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
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30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Niche - a genetics survival game
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Est. copies
≈ 180k–293k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$17.99
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2018
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$103k–$277k after Steam's cut $187k–$426k before Steam's cut
$12.49
987 reviews
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GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion)
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Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
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Est. revenue
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$9.99
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Mixed
StrategyCard Game

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