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How many copies did EvilPunk sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 645–1k
$885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 26 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid EvilPunk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including EvilPunk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20k–96k
best case 108k (Until You Fall)
Games like EvilPunk

A typical game among these

≈ 20k–96k copies

≈ $156k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Until You Fall at ≈ 82k–134k copies, ≈ $565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 101 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Swordplay, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ashen Arrows
2025
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$17.99
27 reviews
Positive
ActionVR
The Light Brigade: Definitive Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$218k–$587k after Steam's cut $397k–$904k before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
VRAction
Hellsweeper VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$85k–$227k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before Steam's cut
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620 reviews
Very Positive
Hack and SlashAction Roguelike
Until You Fall
2020
Est. copies
≈ 82k–134k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRSwordplay
UNDERDOGS
2024
Est. copies
≈ 73k–119k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRAction-Adventure
The secret pyramid VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$7.99
27 reviews
Positive
Directive Nine
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Est. copies
≈ 546–887
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Free
Free
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Mixed
Early AccessVR
Pixel Dungeon VR
2025
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$58k–$157k after Steam's cut $106k–$241k before Steam's cut
$19.99
428 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure

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