How much revenue did Heavy Bullets make?

$241k–$649k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Heavy Bullets sell?

Q: How many copies did Heavy Bullets sell?

88k to 143k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 88k–143k; $241k–$649k after Steam's cut $439k–$998k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heavy Bullets and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Heavy Bullets's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 178k–585k

best case 3.4M (Gunfire Reborn)

Games like Heavy Bullets

A typical game among these

≈ 178k–585k copies

≈ $1.4M–$5.3M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Gunfire Reborn at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 63k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 7) and FPS (6 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rogue-lite + FPS, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Immortal Redneck 2017	Est. copies ≈ 115k–187k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $632k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$19.95	3k reviews Very Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
Void Bastards 2019	Est. copies ≈ 157k–255k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction Roguelike
BPM: BULLETS PER MINUTE 2020	Est. copies ≈ 283k–461k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	FPS Rhythm
Gunfire Reborn 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 19x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	104k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite FPS
Roboquest 2023	Est. copies ≈ 608k–989k 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction Roguelike
Ziggurat 2014	Est. copies ≈ 222k–362k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $917k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteAction
Delver 2018	Est. copies ≈ 87k–141k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $358k–$962k after Steam's cut $650k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerFirst-Person