How much revenue did Hard Time III make?

$99k–$265k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hard Time III sell?

Q: How many copies did Hard Time III sell?

24k to 39k copies, based on its 964 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 24k–39k; $99k–$265k after Steam's cut $179k–$408k before Steam's cut; from 964 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hard Time III and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hard Time III's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 172k–812k

best case 2.4M (UNO)

Games like Hard Time III

A typical game among these

≈ 172k–812k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (3 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M 7.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
Digger Online 2015	Est. copies ≈ 869k–1.4M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut	$7.99	18k reviews Mixed	Story RichAction
Batla 2015	Est. copies ≈ 149k–242k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayFPS
Cartel Tycoon 2022	Est. copies ≈ 95k–154k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $781k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	Top-DownRTS
Disney•Pixar Cars 2015	Est. copies ≈ 143k–232k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $785k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	RacingStory Rich
CHANGE: A Homeless Survival Experience 2020	Est. copies ≈ 71k–116k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $391k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $711k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureTime Management
Primal Carnage: Extinction 2015	Est. copies ≈ 484k–786k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut	$12.99	10k reviews Very Positive	DinosaursMultiplayer