How much revenue did Momodora III make?

$46k–$124k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Momodora III sell?

Q: How many copies did Momodora III sell?

84k to 137k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 84k–137k; $46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$190k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Momodora III and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Momodora III's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 680k–2.8M

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like Momodora III

A typical game among these

≈ 680k–2.8M copies

≈ $5.4M–$25.3M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	42k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaRPG
A Hat in Time 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	54k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Cute3D Platformer
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
GRIS 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	96k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulAtmospheric
ENDER MAGNOLIA: Bloom in the Mist 2025	Est. copies ≈ 468k–760k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	19k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania2D
Touhou Luna Nights 2019	Est. copies ≈ 432k–701k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$17.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MetroidvaniaDifficult
ICEY 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	28k reviews Very Positive	ActionFemale Protagonist