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How many copies did Sombra sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$735–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sombra and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sombra's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 191k–370k
best case 498k (Webbed)
Games like Sombra

A typical game among these

≈ 191k–370k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Webbed at ≈ 380k–617k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 964 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (8 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Physics, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 380k–617k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute
Hoa
2021
Est. copies
≈ 78k–128k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$323k–$870k after Steam's cut $588k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerRelaxing
Sonic Origins
2022
Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action2D Platformer
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
VVVVVV
2010
Est. copies
≈ 667k–1.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
Timespinner
2018
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $970k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaLGBTQ+
F.I.S.T.: Forged In Shadow Torch
2021
Est. copies
≈ 181k–293k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$794k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Wuppo: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration

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