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How many copies did Denizen's Den - Deeper Edition sell?

Too new to estimate
Games in its genre sell ≈ 174k–237k That is the genre's figure, not a prediction for this game.
No reviews yet, so there is nothing to estimate from. That is not the same as selling nothing.
Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Denizen's Den - Deeper Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Denizen's Den - Deeper Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 174k–237k
best case 443k (Cultivation Tales)
Games like Denizen's Den - Deeper Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 174k–237k copies

≈ $1.5M–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Cultivation Tales at ≈ 338k–549k copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 273 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + FPS, priced around $16. The breakout hits carry Survival + 2D Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$711k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
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Action RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
SULFUR
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Est. copies
≈ 259k–421k
1.9x vs typical
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Early AccessAction Roguelike
Cultivation Tales
2024
Est. copies
≈ 338k–549k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Mostly Negative
SandboxBuilding
Himno
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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Moon Hunters
2016
Est. copies
≈ 218k–354k
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Est. revenue
$898k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
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RelaxingRogue-lite
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 249k–404k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$11.99
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2026
Est. copies
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Est. copies
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1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGAction Roguelike

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