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How many copies did Ambasu sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ambasu and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ambasu's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–138k
best case 170k (Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery)
Games like Ambasu

A typical game among these

≈ 33k–138k copies

≈ $209k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery at ≈ 129k–210k copies, ≈ $888k–$2.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 721 reviews in their first month; the range was 120 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Strategy RPG (6 of 8) and Tactical RPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics + Multiple Endings, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Legends of Eisenwald
2015
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $894k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based
Ash of Gods: Redemption
2018
Est. copies
≈ 106k–172k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGSingleplayer
Mugen Souls
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$78k–$209k after Steam's cut $141k–$322k before Steam's cut
$19.99
290 reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGStrategy RPG
War Hospital
2024
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$264k–$710k after Steam's cut $480k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Mixed
Medical SimManagement
Halcyon 6: Starbase Commander (LIGHTSPEED EDITION)
2017
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$119k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$493k before Steam's cut
$14.99
841 reviews
Mostly Positive
4XTactical RPG
Agarest: Generations of War
2014
Est. copies
≈ 105k–170k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$431k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $784k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGTactical RPG
Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 129k–210k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$888k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Turn-Based TacticsMultiple Endings
VenusBlood HOLLOW International
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$399k before Steam's cut
$44.99
314 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelStrategy RPG

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