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How many copies did Overlord: Fellowship of Evil sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 38k–62k
$105k–$282k after Steam's cut $191k–$434k before Steam's cut
from 783 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Overlord: Fellowship of Evil and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overlord: Fellowship of Evil's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 186k–391k
best case 5.9M (Warhammer: Vermintide 2)
Games like Overlord: Fellowship of Evil

A typical game among these

≈ 186k–391k copies

≈ $1.0M–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warhammer: Vermintide 2 at ≈ 4.5M–7.3M copies, ≈ $37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dark Fantasy (6 of 8) and Co-op (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Dark Fantasy, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Hack and Slash + Dwarf + PvE; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer: Vermintide 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut $67.3M–$153.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
148k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opDark Fantasy
Police Simulator: Patrol Duty
2019
Est. copies
≈ 118k–192k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
SimulationOpen World
Iratus: Lord of the Dead
2020
Est. copies
≈ 205k–333k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
Warhammer: End Times - Vermintide
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.6M–$23.2M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
21k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionOnline Co-Op
Overlord II
2009
Est. copies
≈ 315k–513k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$867k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGVillain Protagonist
Achilles: Legends Untold
2023
Est. copies
≈ 68k–110k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$466k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $847k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Co-opDark Fantasy
Police Stories
2019
Est. copies
≈ 281k–456k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStrategy
Overlord™: Raising Hell
2008
Est. copies
≈ 165k–268k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$452k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $823k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction

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