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How many copies did Hard West sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 241k–392k
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hard West and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hard West's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–83k
best case 466k (West of Loathing)
Games like Hard West

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–83k copies

≈ $3k–$901k after Steam's cut

from ~542 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: West of Loathing at ≈ 355k–577k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 41 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 1k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Western (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Comedy + Western, priced around $11.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 57k–93k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$316k–$850k after Steam's cut $575k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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RPGTurn-Based Strategy
West of Loathing
2017
Est. copies
≈ 355k–577k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
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RPGComedy
Hard West 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
6.0x vs typical
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$661k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based StrategyWestern
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
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29 reviews
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StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Age of Grit
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Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
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SteampunkCRPG
Rootin' Tootin' Lootin' & Shootin'
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$982–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
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SteamSpy under 20k
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$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
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StrategyRogue-like
.Forty-Five
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1.9x vs typical
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Free
Free
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.