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How many copies did Bleb sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$579–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bleb and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bleb's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 127k–210k
best case 356k (Deepest Sword)
Games like Bleb

A typical game among these

≈ 127k–210k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Deepest Sword at ≈ 271k–441k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 454 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (7 of 8) and Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + 2D Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry 2D + Singleplayer + Precision Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Planet of Lana
2023
Est. copies
≈ 266k–432k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
Songs for a Hero - Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 185k–301k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerAdventure
Tukoni: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureCasual
The Pedestrian
2020
Est. copies
≈ 152k–247k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$835k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Thomas Was Alone
2012
Est. copies
≈ 594k–965k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerNarration
Deepest Sword
2021
Est. copies
≈ 271k–441k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
Braid
2009
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
HAAK
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania

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