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How many copies did Airship Dragoon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$81k before Steam's cut
from 64 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Airship Dragoon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Airship Dragoon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 797k–1.3M
best case 20.7M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)
Games like Airship Dragoon

A typical game among these

≈ 797k–1.3M copies

≈ $12.3M–$17.7M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies, ≈ $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 4X (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Historical, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Historical + Singleplayer + Addictive; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
380k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Sid Meier's Civilization® V
2010
Est. copies
≈ 13.3M–21.7M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$110.0M–$295.6M after Steam's cut $199.9M–$454.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
211k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyStrategy
HUMANKIND™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 715k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.8M–$26.4M after Steam's cut $17.9M–$40.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
29k reviews
Mixed
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War
2018
Est. copies
≈ 572k–929k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWarhammer 40K
ENDLESS Legend™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Strategy4X
Sid Meier's Civilization®: Beyond Earth™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.3M–$38.4M after Steam's cut $26.0M–$59.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Mixed
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Age of Wonders 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 571k–929k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.1M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Strategy4X
Age of Wonders III
2014
Est. copies
≈ 745k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy

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