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How many copies did Knights of Pen and Paper 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 141k–229k
$310k–$834k after Steam's cut $564k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Knights of Pen and Paper 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Knights of Pen and Paper 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–13.8M
best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)
Games like Knights of Pen and Paper 2

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–13.8M copies

≈ $42.4M–$186.2M after Steam's cut

from ~110k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Turn-Based (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
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Tactical RPGRPG
Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
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45k reviews
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Free to PlayCard Game
Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.3M–34.6M
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
859k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
South Park™: The Stick of Truth™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.0M–$91.4M after Steam's cut $61.8M–$140.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
74k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGComedy
For The King
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOnline Co-Op
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive

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