How many copies did The Midnight Bus sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 92 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did The Midnight Bus make?

The Midnight Bus is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is The Midnight Bus?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 2k–4k; from 92 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Midnight Bus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Midnight Bus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–9.9M

best case 51.1M (Dead by Daylight)

Games like The Midnight Bus

A typical game among these

≈ 4.4M–9.9M copies

≈ $36.2M–$85.7M after Steam's cut

from ~140k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead by Daylight at ≈ 39.0M–63.3M copies, ≈ $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 68k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Survival Horror (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Team-Based + Online Co-Op + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dead by Daylight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 39.0M–63.3M 6.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	937k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
SCP: Secret Laboratory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	235k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Survival Horror
DEVOUR 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	88k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Deceit 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	92k reviews Mostly Positive	PvPMultiplayer
Outlast 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	140k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
Resident Evil 4 2023	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.3M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorAction
Poppy Playtime 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	143k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFree to Play