How much revenue did SpellForce 3 Reforced make?

$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did SpellForce 3 Reforced sell?

Q: How many copies did SpellForce 3 Reforced sell?

274k to 445k copies, based on its 8k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 274k–445k; $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut; from 8k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SpellForce 3 Reforced and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SpellForce 3 Reforced's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–5.6M

best case 4.6M (Crusader Kings III)

Games like SpellForce 3 Reforced

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–5.6M copies

≈ $48.6M–$83.8M after Steam's cut

from ~83k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Crusader Kings III at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Grand Strategy (5 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Medieval + Grand Strategy, priced around $50.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Total War: WARHAMMER 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	52k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyFantasy
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
SPORE™ 2008	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	73k reviews Very Positive	God GameOpen World
Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	121k reviews Very Positive	StrategyFantasy
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	93k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Kenshi 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.3M–$78.9M after Steam's cut $53.3M–$121.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	117k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldSandbox
Crusader Kings II 2012	Est. copies ≈ 4.7M–7.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	74k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy