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How many copies did Mineral Defense sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$26k–$70k after Steam's cut $47k–$107k before Steam's cut
from 253 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mineral Defense and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mineral Defense's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 19k–76k
best case 134k (Heretic's Fork)
Games like Mineral Defense

A typical game among these

≈ 19k–76k copies

≈ $143k–$404k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Heretic's Fork at ≈ 102k–166k copies, ≈ $281k–$755k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 450 reviews in their first month; the range was 124 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Deckbuilding (6 of 8) and Tower Defense (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Deckbuilding + Tower Defense, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Overdungeon
2019
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$369k–$991k after Steam's cut $670k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyIndie
3 Minute Heroes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$125k before Steam's cut
$19.99
222 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCard Game
Forest Heroes
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20k–$54k after Steam's cut $37k–$83k before Steam's cut
$9.99
296 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessStrategy
Deck of Haunts
2025
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$198k–$533k after Steam's cut $360k–$819k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Heretic's Fork
2023
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$281k–$755k after Steam's cut $511k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ORX
2022
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$93k–$251k after Steam's cut $170k–$386k before Steam's cut
$19.99
684 reviews
Mixed
Tower Tactics: Liberation
2023
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$112k–$300k after Steam's cut $203k–$461k before Steam's cut
$12.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Border Pioneer
2025
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$197k–$529k after Steam's cut $358k–$814k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.