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How many copies did MiSa sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 75 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MiSa and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MiSa's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.7M–15.9M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like MiSa

A typical game among these

≈ 5.7M–15.9M copies

≈ $31.8M–$81.0M after Steam's cut

from ~186k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
229k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Metro: Last Light Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$67.9M after Steam's cut $45.9M–$104.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
82k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Outlast 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer

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