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How many copies did Starless Abyss sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$47k–$126k after Steam's cut $85k–$193k before Steam's cut
from 343 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Starless Abyss and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Starless Abyss's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 231k–321k
best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)
Games like Starless Abyss

A typical game among these

≈ 231k–321k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Dark Fantasy, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Dungeon Crawler + Difficult + Turn-Based Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles
2023
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$782k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Chrono Ark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 342k–555k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dark ill 暗黑蛊国
2022
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
20 reviews
Mixed
WORLD OF HORROR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 245k–397k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorLovecraftian
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Iratus: Lord of the Dead
2020
Est. copies
≈ 205k–333k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
Hunt the Pale Gods
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$14.99
45 reviews
Positive
DeckbuildingCard Battler
Shogun Showdown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 176k–286k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Replay ValueStrategy RPG

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