How much revenue did Slay or Fall make?

$7k–$20k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Slay or Fall sell?

Q: How many copies did Slay or Fall sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 156 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $7k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut; from 156 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Slay or Fall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Slay or Fall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 933k–1.2M

best case 2.3M (Lobotomy Corporation | Monster Management Simulation)

Games like Slay or Fall

A typical game among these

≈ 933k–1.2M copies

≈ $7.2M–$15.7M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Lobotomy Corporation | Monster Management Simulation at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 947 to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Management (7 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Psychological Horror, priced around $25.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
PlateUp! 2022	Est. copies ≈ 675k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Co-op Management
Mini Motorways 2021	Est. copies ≈ 607k–986k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategySimulation
Moonlighter 2018	Est. copies ≈ 747k–1.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Very Positive	Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
Tropico 6 2019	Est. copies ≈ 851k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	30k reviews Very Positive	City BuilderStrategy
Lobotomy Corporation \| Monster Management Simulation 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	57k reviews Very Positive	ManagementDifficult
Dwarf Fortress 2022	Est. copies ≈ 783k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
Warsim: The Realm of Aslona 2022	Est. copies ≈ 55k–90k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $151k–$407k after Steam's cut $275k–$626k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Text-BasedSimulation