How much revenue did The Ethereal Dream make?

$40k–$107k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Ethereal Dream sell?

Q: How many copies did The Ethereal Dream sell?

7k to 12k copies, based on its 291 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–12k; $40k–$107k after Steam's cut $72k–$164k before Steam's cut; from 291 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Ethereal Dream and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Ethereal Dream's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–10k

best case 88k (Folie Fatale)

Games like The Ethereal Dream

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–10k copies

≈ $42k–$67k after Steam's cut

from ~134 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Folie Fatale at ≈ 67k–109k copies, ≈ $110k–$296k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 38 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 727.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Otome (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Otome, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Choose Your Own Adventure + Thriller + Psychological Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
X-note 2015	Est. copies ≈ 12k–20k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $50k–$136k after Steam's cut $92k–$209k before Steam's cut	$14.99	251 reviews Mixed	Visual NovelAnime
Folie Fatale 2024	Est. copies ≈ 67k–109k 20x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $110k–$296k after Steam's cut $200k–$455k before Steam's cut	$5.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistOtome
Demonheart: The Cursed Trial 2025	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $23k–$61k after Steam's cut $42k–$94k before Steam's cut	$24.99	134 reviews Very Positive	OtomeMystery
Nicole 2014	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $37k–$98k after Steam's cut $66k–$151k before Steam's cut	$18.99	125 reviews Mixed	Visual NovelOtome
Pinewood Island 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$22k before Steam's cut	$9.99	55 reviews Very Positive	OtomeFemale Protagonist
Enamored Risks 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	210 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelCasual
Heart Fragment 2021	Est. copies ≈ 8k–14k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue Free	Free	338 reviews Very Positive	IndieSimulation
봄이 오면 꽃이 피고 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$101k before Steam's cut	$34.99	102 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessDating Sim