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How many copies did Paper Bride 6 Nightmare sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$131k before Steam's cut
from 465 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paper Bride 6 Nightmare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paper Bride 6 Nightmare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 929k–1.5M
best case 1.8M (Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair)
Games like Paper Bride 6 Nightmare

A typical game among these

≈ 929k–1.5M copies

≈ $2.2M–$14.5M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair at ≈ 1.4M–2.2M copies, ≈ $7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Psychological Horror (5 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + Detective, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Evil Within 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.6M after Steam's cut $21.4M–$48.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeDetective
HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Peggle Deluxe
2007
Est. copies
≈ 921k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
Pony Island
2016
Est. copies
≈ 755k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleIndie
Changed
2018
Est. copies
≈ 565k–919k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$776k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
CuteDifficult
港詭實錄ParanormalHK
2020
Est. copies
≈ 510k–829k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSexual Content

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