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wishvane

How many copies did Pony Island sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 722k–1.2M
$990k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before the cut
from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Pony Island out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pony Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–4.6M
best case 4.6M (Poppy Playtime)

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 3.6M–4.6M copies
≈ $5.6M–$31.7M after Steam's cut
from ~116k reviews
Best case
≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies
Poppy Playtime
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (4 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2025, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.1M after Steam's cut $40.0M–$90.9M before the cut
$19.99
116k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.0M after Steam's cut $8.8M–$20.1M before the cut
$4.99
103k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.1M–$51.3M after Steam's cut $34.7M–$79.0M before the cut
$24.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
My Summer Car
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.8M after Steam's cut $20.8M–$47.3M before the cut
$14.99
116k reviews
Very Positive
Automobile SimSimulation
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Helltaker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayCute
Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
140k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.