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How many copies did Tae Kwon Dog sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$27–$73 after Steam's cut $49–$112 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tae Kwon Dog and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tae Kwon Dog's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 583k–1.1M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Tae Kwon Dog

A typical game among these

≈ 583k–1.1M copies

≈ $356k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 15k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (5 of 8) and Action Roguelike (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Vampire + Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HoloCure - Save the Fans!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell
Yet Another Zombie Survivors
2026
Est. copies
≈ 386k–628k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad
2015
Est. copies
≈ 490k–796k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$551k before Steam's cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Arcade2D
Timberman
2015
Est. copies
≈ 545k–885k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$148k–$399k after Steam's cut $270k–$613k before Steam's cut
$0.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CasualPixel Graphics
Superflight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 399k–648k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$328k–$881k after Steam's cut $596k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FlightIndie
Super Hexagon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DifficultGreat Soundtrack
AudioSurf
2008
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MusicRhythm

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