How much revenue did Conradito Cafézito make?

$4k–$9k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Conradito Cafézito sell?

Q: How many copies did Conradito Cafézito sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 103 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $4k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut; from 103 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Conradito Cafézito and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Conradito Cafézito's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–10k

best case 55k (Capybara Spa)

Games like Conradito Cafézito

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–10k copies

≈ $8k–$36k after Steam's cut

from ~142 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Capybara Spa at ≈ 42k–69k copies, ≈ $93k–$249k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 397 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Point & Click (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Sandbox, priced around $8.
When they shipped: Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Meet Your Oshi 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$3.99	110 reviews Very Positive	HorrorRobots
Capybara Spa 2022	Est. copies ≈ 42k–69k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $93k–$249k after Steam's cut $169k–$384k before Steam's cut	$7.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationCasual
Elsinore 2019	Est. copies ≈ 11k–18k 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$125k before Steam's cut	$9.99	382 reviews Very Positive	IndieAdventure
Be touch-and-go 2024	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before Steam's cut	$1.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	CasualSimulation
Save the Reactor 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut	$4.99	142 reviews Very Positive	SimulationDifficult
我16岁辍学做游戏！ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut	$14.99	52 reviews Mixed	SimulationGame Development
Farm Frenzy: Refreshed 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$38k before Steam's cut	$8.99	148 reviews Very Positive	CasualSimulation
Plantabi: Little Garden 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut	$6.99	83 reviews Very Positive	Simulation Farming Sim