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How many copies did STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight - Mysteries of the Sith™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 67k–109k
$55k–$149k after Steam's cut $100k–$228k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight - Mysteries of the Sith™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight - Mysteries of the Sith™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–10.4M
best case 56.3M (Warframe)
Games like STAR WARS™ Jedi Knight - Mysteries of the Sith™

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–10.4M copies

≈ $9.7M–$46.8M after Steam's cut

from ~55k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fallout 3
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Fallout 3: Game of the Year Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.5M–$52.5M after Steam's cut $35.5M–$80.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
ORION: Prelude
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$488k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $887k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
28k reviews
Mostly Positive
DinosaursAction
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 21.0M–34.1M
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
STAR WARS™ Battlefront II (Classic, 2005)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's cut $17.1M–$39.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Very Positive
ActionMultiplayer
STAR WARS™ Battlefront™ II
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.3M–$73.4M after Steam's cut $49.7M–$113.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
100k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerShooter
Evolve Stage 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionMultiplayer

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