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How many copies did Bug.Splash TD : Debugged sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bug.Splash TD : Debugged and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bug.Splash TD : Debugged's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–18k
best case 27k (Doom Sweeper)
Games like Bug.Splash TD : Debugged

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–18k copies

≈ $4k–$30k after Steam's cut

from ~144 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Doom Sweeper at ≈ 20k–33k copies, ≈ $28k–$75k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 117 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 562.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Hack and Slash, priced around $5.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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air star
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Action RoguelikeHack and Slash

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.