How much revenue did Space Cycle make?

$3k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Space Cycle sell?

Q: How many copies did Space Cycle sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 193 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut; from 193 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Space Cycle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Space Cycle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 448k–677k

best case 749k (Monster Train)

Games like Space Cycle

A typical game among these

≈ 448k–677k copies

≈ $3.3M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Train at ≈ 570k–927k copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (5 of 8) and Tower Defense (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Battler + Rogue-lite, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Card Battler + Card Game + Deckbuilding; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bad North: Jotunn Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 436k–709k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	14k reviews Very Positive	WargameVikings
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 570k–927k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Wall World 2023	Est. copies ≈ 316k–513k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $607k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$6.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-liteMining
Dungeon of the ENDLESS™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 787k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$11.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeStrategy
Ratropolis 2020	Est. copies ≈ 137k–223k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $680k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$17.99	6k reviews Very Positive	2DDeckbuilding
Rogue Tower 2022	Est. copies ≈ 147k–239k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $607k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	Tower DefenseStrategy
The Last Spell 2023	Est. copies ≈ 341k–555k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	14k reviews Very Positive	StrategySingleplayer
Kingdom: New Lands 2016	Est. copies ≈ 516k–839k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Tower Defense Survival