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How many copies did Dicey Tales sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
from 65 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dicey Tales and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dicey Tales's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 70k–144k
best case 197k (Gordian Quest)
Games like Dicey Tales

A typical game among these

≈ 70k–144k copies

≈ $471k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Gordian Quest at ≈ 150k–244k copies, ≈ $827k–$2.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Battler (6 of 8) and Deckbuilding (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Card Battler, priced around $20.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gordian Quest
2022
Est. copies
≈ 150k–244k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$827k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RPGCard Game
Circadian Dice
2022
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before Steam's cut
$5.99
606 reviews
Very Positive
Die in the Dungeon
2026
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$368k–$990k after Steam's cut $669k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessTurn-Based Strategy
Dice & Fold
2024
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$347k–$934k after Steam's cut $631k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$12.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerDungeon Crawler
SpellRogue
2025
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$225k–$605k after Steam's cut $409k–$930k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles
2023
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$782k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Dice with the Devil
2024
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
11 reviews
Positive
Probability Dungeon
2025
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
DiceTurn-Based

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.