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How many copies did Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
from 103 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 602–919
best case 31k (Nexus 5X)
Games like Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy

A typical game among these

≈ 602–919 copies

≈ $3k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Nexus 5X at ≈ 24k–38k copies, ≈ $97k–$261k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 68 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 671.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Board Game + Multiplayer + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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