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How many copies did Demon Knives sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$287–$770 after Steam's cut $521–$1k before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Demon Knives and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Demon Knives's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 502k–1.3M
best case 3.6M (The Last of Us™ Part I)
Games like Demon Knives

A typical game among these

≈ 502k–1.3M copies

≈ $2.6M–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Last of Us™ Part I at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 28k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Devil Daggers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 395k–643k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSDifficult
DUSK
2018
Est. copies
≈ 778k–1.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS
The Last of Us™ Part I
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut $82.0M–$186.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichPost-apocalyptic
Quake
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
Quake Live
2014
Est. copies
≈ 890k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
FPSArena Shooter
Quake Champions
2022
Est. copies
≈ 972k–1.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
POSTAL: Brain Damaged
2022
Est. copies
≈ 280k–454k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterAction
We Were Here Too
2018
Est. copies
≈ 344k–559k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$945k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
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