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How many copies did Disney•Pixar WALL-E sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 70k–114k
$386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $701k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Disney•Pixar WALL-E and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Disney•Pixar WALL-E's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 824k–1.6M
best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)
Games like Disney•Pixar WALL-E

A typical game among these

≈ 824k–1.6M copies

≈ $12.1M–$26.9M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 25k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Female Protagonist, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + RPG + Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAdventure
ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 584k–949k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$20.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Horizon Forbidden West™ Complete Edition
2024
Est. copies
≈ 759k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSingleplayer
Call of Duty®: Infinite Warfare
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
30k reviews
Mixed
ActionFPS
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
Terminator: Resistance
2019
Est. copies
≈ 541k–880k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
FPSPost-apocalyptic
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Generation Zero®
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
42k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldSurvival

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