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How many copies did Ilamentia sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
from 103 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ilamentia and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ilamentia's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 540k–1.3M
best case 4.1M (Buckshot Roulette)
Games like Ilamentia

A typical game among these

≈ 540k–1.3M copies

≈ $6.4M–$14.8M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Buckshot Roulette at ≈ 3.1M–5.1M copies, ≈ $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dark + Gambling, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Gambling + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Antichamber
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
The Witness
2016
Est. copies
≈ 900k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$40.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Scorn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 494k–802k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
20k reviews
Mostly Positive
GoreHorror
Viewfinder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 330k–536k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
The Exit 8
2023
Est. copies
≈ 289k–470k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$317k–$853k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$3.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$2.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark

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