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How many copies did Deadwalker Chronicles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$975–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deadwalker Chronicles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deadwalker Chronicles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–5.3M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Deadwalker Chronicles

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–5.3M copies

≈ $17.1M–$37.8M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (5 of 8) and Deckbuilding (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.6x vs typical
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≈ 6.3M–10.3M
2.8x vs typical
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