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How many copies did Kalnazar sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 248–403
$681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 10 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kalnazar and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kalnazar's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 480–635
best case 6k (The Wolf)
Games like Kalnazar

A typical game among these

≈ 480–635 copies

≈ $4k–$29k after Steam's cut

from ~18 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Wolf at ≈ 5k–8k copies, ≈ $14k–$36k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 52.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share MMORPG (7 of 8) and Action RPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MMORPG, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Early Access + Action-Adventure + Immersive Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
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21 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
Fantasy Online 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
11x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before Steam's cut
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Early AccessExploration
The Wolf
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$36k after Steam's cut $25k–$56k before Steam's cut
$9.99
199 reviews
Mixed
Spectacle fighterImmersive Sim
Kingdom Of Secrets مملكة الأسرار
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$646–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
19 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
The Maze: Humanity
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Early AccessAction
Nothorian
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
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Mixed
MMORPGAction
新魔剑(New Magic Sword)
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Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
Free
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ActionAdventure
仙途世界
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Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$29.99
16 reviews
Positive
RPGAction RPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.