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How many copies did Fantasy Online 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before Steam's cut
from 189 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fantasy Online 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fantasy Online 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–4.8M
best case 7.3M (The Elder Scrolls® Online)
Games like Fantasy Online 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–4.8M copies

≈ $26.6M–$50.6M after Steam's cut

from ~40k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls® Online at ≈ 5.6M–9.0M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Collectathon (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with MMORPG + Open World, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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