How much revenue did Fermi's Path make?

$6k–$17k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fermi's Path sell?

Q: How many copies did Fermi's Path sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 53 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$26k before Steam's cut; from 53 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fermi's Path and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fermi's Path's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 114k–991k

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Fermi's Path

A typical game among these

≈ 114k–991k copies

≈ $194k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Level Editor (7 of 8) and Music (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 19x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	84k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 145x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Intralism 2016	Est. copies ≈ 201k–326k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut	$2.99	5k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Pistol Whip 2019	Est. copies ≈ 119k–193k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Very Positive	VRAction
Soundodger+ 2013	Est. copies ≈ 52k–84k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $113k–$304k after Steam's cut $206k–$468k before Steam's cut	$7.99	815 reviews Very Positive	IndieCasual
Rift of the NecroDancer 2025	Est. copies ≈ 156k–254k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $859k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMinigames
Tadpole Treble 2016	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut	$4.99	286 reviews Very Positive	IndieAction
BARRIER X 2016	Est. copies ≈ 98k–159k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $81k–$217k after Steam's cut $147k–$334k before Steam's cut	$2.99	2k reviews Very Positive	IndieAction