How much revenue did Tadpole Treble make?

$16k–$44k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tadpole Treble sell?

Q: How many copies did Tadpole Treble sell?

12k to 19k copies, based on its 286 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 12k–19k; $16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut; from 286 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tadpole Treble and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tadpole Treble's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 94k–1.5M

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Tadpole Treble

A typical game among these

≈ 94k–1.5M copies

≈ $194k–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Level Editor (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Neodash 2022	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $57k–$152k after Steam's cut $103k–$234k before Steam's cut	$15.99	519 reviews Very Positive	RacingAction
Rhythm Doctor 2025	Est. copies ≈ 671k–1.1M 7.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmMusic
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 172x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Intralism 2016	Est. copies ≈ 201k–326k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut	$2.99	5k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Soundodger+ 2013	Est. copies ≈ 52k–84k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $113k–$304k after Steam's cut $206k–$468k before Steam's cut	$7.99	815 reviews Very Positive	IndieCasual
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 22x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	84k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
BARRIER X 2016	Est. copies ≈ 98k–159k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $81k–$217k after Steam's cut $147k–$334k before Steam's cut	$2.99	2k reviews Very Positive	IndieAction
Afterbeat (Project Arrhythmia) 2019	Est. copies ≈ 78k–126k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $321k–$862k after Steam's cut $583k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MusicRhythm