How much revenue did SEGA Mega Drive and Genesis Classics make?

SEGA Mega Drive and Genesis Classics is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did SEGA Mega Drive and Genesis Classics sell?

Q: How many copies did SEGA Mega Drive and Genesis Classics sell?

773k to 1.3M copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 773k–1.3M; from 12k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SEGA Mega Drive and Genesis Classics and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SEGA Mega Drive and Genesis Classics's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.9M–17.6M

best case 20.7M (The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition)

Games like SEGA Mega Drive and Genesis Classics

A typical game among these

≈ 6.9M–17.6M copies

≈ $76.8M–$142.2M after Steam's cut

from ~214k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies, ≈ $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (3 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Fantasy, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2004 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	204k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Half-Life 2 2004	Est. copies ≈ 17.7M–28.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	183k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $173.2M–$465.8M after Steam's cut $315.0M–$716.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	379k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Portal 2007	Est. copies ≈ 12.6M–20.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	199k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	205k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Resident Evil 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	224k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Halo: The Master Chief Collection 2019	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $83.3M–$223.9M after Steam's cut $151.4M–$344.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	263k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackFPS