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How many copies did Dreams of Aether sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 47k–77k
$39k–$105k after Steam's cut $71k–$161k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dreams of Aether and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dreams of Aether's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 326k–440k
best case 406k (Pixel Strike 3D)
Games like Dreams of Aether

A typical game among these

≈ 326k–440k copies

≈ $2.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pixel Strike 3D at ≈ 310k–503k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 3k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (5 of 8) and Competitive (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

UFO 50
2024
Est. copies
≈ 186k–303k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndiePixel Graphics
Pixel Strike 3D
2020
Est. copies
≈ 310k–503k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Cook, Serve, Delicious!
2013
Est. copies
≈ 361k–587k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$12.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
IndieTime Management
Okay, Panic!
2019
Est. copies
≈ 518–842
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
18 reviews
Mostly Negative
ExplorationPuzzle
SMYS : Show Me Your Stairs
2024
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$11.99
16 reviews
Positive
Party GameLocal Multiplayer
YOKAIWARE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
18 reviews
Positive
ActionMinigames
Aimtropolis
2023
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
VRCasual
One Minute
2025
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$551–$1k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
27 reviews
Positive
Arcade2D

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