How much revenue did Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light make?

$834k–$2.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light sell?

Q: How many copies did Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light sell?

304k to 493k copies, based on its 5k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 304k–493k; $834k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut; from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 394k–1.2M

best case 38.8M (Portal 2)

Games like Lara Croft and the Guardian of Light

A typical game among these

≈ 394k–1.2M copies

≈ $2.6M–$6.7M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and Female Protagonist (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Puzzle + Split Screen; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
LEGO® STAR WARS™: The Force Awakens 2016	Est. copies ≈ 294k–477k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	LEGOAdventure
It Takes Two 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M 31x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Trine Enchanted Edition 2009	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerBeautiful
Resident Evil Revelations 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.3M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	19k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAction
Operation: Tango 2021	Est. copies ≈ 222k–360k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpPuzzle
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M 53x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
DreadOut 2014	Est. copies ≈ 320k–520k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorIndie
Never Alone (Kisima Ingitchuna) 2014	Est. copies ≈ 486k–790k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	IndieLocal Co-Op